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Machine Learning, a New Best Practice for Risk Prediction.

Written by Jim Fitchett | Jul 24, 2025

Decision-makers rely on a “best practice” of prioritizing actions based on pipe age, material, and failure history, but this method is outdated. It works, but it ignores many significant variables. Soil type, moisture, weather, land use, seismic activity, proximity to roads, bridges, bodies of water, railroads, and others impact remaining useful life. The mosaic of geography, geology, topography, pipe materials, contractor skills, and proactive maintenance impact asset health.  

Machine learning, a subset of artificial intelligence (AI), offers a new “best practice” by considering dozens of variables to accurately assess the probability of failures. Machine learning finds patterns that precede failures, removes bias, and consistently predicts future events. It helps utilities prevent half their water main breaks, predict wastewater incidents, and find lead service lines.  

Machine learning can improve asset management, detect leaks, predict failures, and optimize resources. Asset management based on science provides better leverage for addressing the many challenges in water distribution and wastewater collection systems. Utilities can easily avoid half of their water main failures using machine learning.  

Potential benefits include the following: 

  • Allocate capital resources effectively, 
  • Reduce water loss and greenhouse gasses, 
  • Avoid spending money on pipes and areas that don’t need it, 
  • Reduce catastrophic breaks that can result in casualties, 
  • Create risk reports that support operations and planning budgets, 
  • Justify investment in specific zones, 
  • Improve customer satisfaction with fewer disruptions, 
  • Reduce insurance premiums, 
  • Identify pipes that need maintenance and replacement, 

Save millions each year in misidentification of pipe rehabilitation & replacement.

VODA.ai offers machine learning software that is outperforms traditional asset management methods in accuracy. This science-based approach is becoming the new best practice for utilities seeking to prioritize resources and reduce failures.

 

This is the first article in our AI for Utilities series – where we break down what AI and machine learning really means, how it works, how it helps, and what results utilities are seeing. We also bust the myths around this often mystified technology. 

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